基于不确定理论的铁路货运需求预测

合理预测铁路货运需求是铁路管理部门建设、运营等决策基础。为应对铁路货运需求的复杂变化,基于Pearson相关性分析方法筛选出铁路货运需求的七个具有关键影响的因素,并结合不确定理论建立不确定多元线性回归模型,相应的铁路货运预测结果由传统单一值变成可能的需求区间范围,更加符合处于不确定环境下的铁路货运需求实际情况。选取国家统计局2004~2016年相关数据进实证研究,并与回归模型以及BP模型的预测结果对比分析,实验表明不确定多元线性回归的预测结果更加精确。     

利用电磁法研究HMX与TATB混合钝感炸药的冲击起爆特性

为研究含有少量奥克托金(HMX)且以三氨基三硝基苯(TATB)为基的高能钝感炸药PBX-3的冲击起爆反应增长规律,采用火炮驱动蓝宝石飞片的方法和铝基组合式电磁粒子速度计技术进行了一维平面冲击实验。通过实验测量撞击表面及内部不同深度处的冲击波后粒子速度,得到PBX-3炸药的Hugoniot关系。根据冲击波示踪器所测数据绘制了炸药到爆轰的时间-距离(x-t)图,获得了反映炸药冲击起爆性能的Pop关系。将入射压力为12.964 GPa时达到爆轰的6条速度曲线修整成相同零点,通过读取6条曲线的分离点即反应区末端的C-J点,计算出化学反应区时间和宽度。     

Photo-Controlled Macroscopic Self-Assembly Based on Photo-Switchable Hetero-Complementary Quadruple Hydrogen Bonds

A photo-switchable hetero-complementary quadruple H-bonding array, which consists of an azobenzene-derived ureidopyrimidinone (UPy) module ( Azo-UPy ) and a nonphotoactive diamidonaphthyridine (DAN) derivative ( Napy-1 ), is constructed based on a reversible photo-locking approach. Upon UV (390 nm)/Vis (460 nm) light irradiations, photo-switchable quadruple H-bonded dimerization between Azo-UPy and Napy-1 can be achieved with exhibiting 4.8×10⁴-fold differences in binding strength (ON/OFF ratios). Furthermore, smart polymeric gels with unique photo-controlled macroscopic self-assembly behavior can be fabricated by introducing such quadruple H-bonding array as photo-regulable noncovalent interfacial connections.     

A modified model for isothermal homogeneous and heterogeneous reactions in the boundary-layer flow of a nanofluid

The homogeneous and heterogeneous reactions in the boundary-layer of a flat surface are considered. The autocatalysts are assumed to be of regular sizes, while the solution is a dilute nanofluid. The heat release due to the chemical reactions is taken into account. The Buongiorno's model is used to describe the behaviors of this reaction system. This configuration makes the current model be different from all previous publications. Multiple solutions are given numerically to the rescaled nonlinear system, whose stability is verified. The results show that the strength coefficients of the homogeneous and heterogeneous reactions are key factors to cause the appearance of the multiple solutions in the distribution of the chemical reactions. Nanofluids enhance the diffusion of heat and help maintain the stability of chemical reactions.     

基于改进VIKOR方法的地震应急物资运输决策问题研究

地震灾害应急救援物资方案的合理选择对与减少人员伤亡,降低灾民的财产损失具有重要影响。本文针对属性权重未知情形下的地震应急物资运输方案决策问题,提出了一种Pythagorean模糊不确定语言与前景理论相结合的改进VIKOR决策方法,即PFUL-PT-VIKOR法。首先,采用Pythagorean模糊不确定语言用于描述和融合专家对地震应急物资运输方案在考虑多种属性影响下的感知信息;其次,利用主客观融合法对属性权重进行求解;然后,提出基于前景理论的改进VIKOR法并得出方案排序;最后,通过算例分析,对所提出方法的有效性和实践性给予验证。结果表明,PFUL-PT-VIKOR模型有助于增强决策专家对不确定突发情景信息感知的知识表示能力,解决属性赋权过于主观或过分依赖样本的困难,并突围了应急决策者隐性心理行为较难定量应用的思维定势,增强了模型的现实适用性,为地震应急物资是否合理运输提供决策支持。     

改进的PNC方法及其在非线性偏微分方程多解问题中的应用

2017年，李昭祥等提出了一种偏牛顿-校正法（Partial Newton-Correction Method，简记为PNC方法），并利用它成功地计算出了三类非线性偏微分方程的多重不稳定解.本文在PNC方法的基础上，提出并发展了一种改进的PNC方法.首先，利用Nehari流形$\mathcal{N}$与零平凡解的可分离性，建立并证明了$\mathcal{N}$的某特殊子流形$\mathcal{M}$上的全局分离定理及其推广（即局部分离定理）.全局分离定理只跟非线性偏微分算子或相应的非线性泛函本身有关，而与具体的计算方法无关.对一些典型的非线性偏微分方程多解问题（比如，Henon方程问题），该全局分离定理的分离条件，经验证是成立的.另一个方面，通过修改或补充原辅助变换的定义，去掉了原辅助变换的奇异性；接着建立并证明了某些非线性偏微分方程问题的新未知解与该非线性偏微分算子零核空间的密切关系；在证明中，去掉了在原奇异变换下所需的标准收敛（standard convergence）假设.最后，计算实例与数值结果验证了改进的PNC方法的可行性和有效性；同时表明子流形$\mathcal{M}$与已知解的可分离性是PNC方法和本文新方法能成功找到多解的关键.     

Optimal time delays in a class of reaction-diffusion equations

ABSTRACT

A class of semilinear parabolic reaction diffusion equations with multiple time delays is considered. These time delays and corresponding weights are to be optimized such that the associated solution of the delay equation is the best approximation of a desired state function. The differentiability of the mapping is proved that associates the solution of the delay equation to the vector of weights and delays. Based on an adjoint calculus, first-order necessary optimality conditions are derived. Numerical test examples show the applicability of the concept of optimizing time delays.     

Stability of Antimicrobial Drug Molecules in Different Gravitational and Radiation Conditions in View of Applications during Outer Space Missions

The evolution of different antimicrobial drugs in terrestrial, microgravity and hypergravity conditions is presented within this review, in connection with their implementation during human space exploration. Drug stability is of utmost importance for applications in outer space. Instabilities may be radiation-induced or micro-/hypergravity produced. The antimicrobial agents used in space may have diminished effects not only due to the microgravity-induced weakened immune response of astronauts, but also due to the gravity and radiation-altered pathogens. In this context, the paper provides schemes and procedures to find reliable ways of fighting multiple drug resistance acquired by microorganisms. It shows that the role of multipurpose medicines modified at the molecular scale by optical methods in long-term space missions should be considered in more detail. Solutions to maintain drug stability, even in extreme environmental conditions, are also discussed, such as those that would be encountered during long-duration space exploratory missions. While the microgravity conditions may not be avoided in space, the suggested approaches deal with the radiation-induced modifications in humans, bacteria and medicines onboard, which may be fought by novel pharmaceutical formulation strategies along with radioprotective packaging and storage.